CA Timbuense – Newell’s

Model: TIPPSH

CA Timbuense vs Newell's

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=12
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Timbuense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA TimbuenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.076

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA TimbuenseHOME
VS
Newell'sAWAY
LDW
Recent form
WWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.67
1.00
Shots on target for
4.33
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.67
4.20
Home splitL-D0.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Copa Santa Fe (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=12
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 53.2% 7D: 14.1% 15D: 3.2% 30D: 4.8%
Model insight

CA Timbuense – Newell’s Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.87% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate18.2%
Profit-3.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCD Estradense - Coruxo3.905.87%
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
LOSSFK Zalgiris Vilnius - Hajduk Split3.527.69%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
WINHUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane3.825.87%
LOSSEl Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)3.707.69%
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.25% • n=12
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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