Afan Lido vs Pontardawe Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Afan Lido. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Afan LidoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.020 | A: -0.047Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Afan Lido, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Afan Lido – Pontardawe Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | EC Sao Bernardo U20 - Velo Clube U20 | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh - Al Ittifaq Dubai | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Academia Costa Del Este - Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Newport City FC - Baglan Dragons | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Olimpija Ljubljana - NK Nafta 1903 | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FK Liepaja - SC Grobinas | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Pontypridd Utd - Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Mohun Bagan SG - Northeast United | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC | 1 | 1.74 | -9.21% | 22 Aug 09:00 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 1.68 | -4.66% | 22 Aug 12:15 |
| BK Olympic - Tvååkers IF | 1 | 1.74 | -7.35% | 22 Aug 13:00 |
| Worcester City - Stamford | 1 | 1.66 | -9.21% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Cittadella - US Pergolettese | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 22 Aug 18:00 |
| Piratas - Cancun FC | 1 | 1.63 | -4.66% | 23 Aug 03:00 |