Model: TipTromba35H
Caen II – Bastia II
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 10d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.36% · n=211
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Caen II | Bastia II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D | W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.67 | 2.67 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.33 for / 2.67 against | 5.33 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 5.33 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Caen II. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Caen II – Bastia II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.36% across 211 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate28.4%
Profit-7.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ballymun United - St Francis FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC - Blacktown Spartans | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Deportes Iquique (W) - Universidad Catolica (W) | 3.00 | 3.58% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 27 May 09:00 |
| CF Os Belenenses - SC Farense | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 30 May 21:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.36% • n=211
Start
Started 10d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 15h ago