Model: TIPPSH

Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United

PREDICTION

@ 1.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 23, 2026 8:30 AM

ResultLOSS4 - 4

StartStarted 49d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Canberra Olympic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Canberra Olympic

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.92First seen

Current1.64Now

Max odds2.00Highest point

Min odds1.58Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Canberra OlympicHOME

Belconnen UnitedAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DLLLL

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

3.00

3.20

Shots on target for

6.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

5.20

Home splitD-W-L2.67 scored / 3.33 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-L1.80 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Capital Territory Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.64

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Canberra Olympic, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Canberra Olympic is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 37.0% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 23.7% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

Canberra Olympic – Belconnen United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample197

Win Rate58.4%

Profit-4.06u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints	1.72	-9.89%
WIN	Njardvik - Grindavik	1.62	-7.35%
LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00
Argentina - Switzerland	1	1.71	-7.35%	12 Jul 03:00
FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn	1	1.68	-7.35%	14 Jul 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.64

Kickoff

Mag 23, 2026 8:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 49d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 13h ago