Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aberystwyth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AberystwythGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: -0.157Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.55. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Aberystwyth showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Aberystwyth is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Aberystwyth – Llantwit Major Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | PPJ (W) - GrIFK (W) | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Guria Lanchkhuti - FC Iberia 1999 II | 1.65 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Northern Tigers U20 - Macarthur Rams U20 | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Sport Huancayo II - CD Estudiantil CNI | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Al Urooba - Al Dhaid | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Jadran Dekani - NK Jesenice | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FK Auda - Tukums 2000 | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Przysucha - Blonianka Blonie | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 13:00 |
| FA 2000 - Brabrand | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| Frem - ASA Aarhus | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Sveikata - FK Panevezys II | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 15:00 |
| Kelty Hearts - Dumbarton | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Atvidabergs FF - Angelholm | 1 | 1.70 | -3.82% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Chesham - Walton & Hersham | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Hanworth Villa - Evesham United | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 16:00 |