Carlisle vs Scunthorpe
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Carlisle. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CarlisleGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: 0.115Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Carlisle has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Carlisle – Scunthorpe Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Yemen U20 - Cambodia U20 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Monterrey - Atletico San Luis | 1.67 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de Resistencia | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Airbus UK - Holywell Town | 1.68 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Bolivar SC - Atletico Avila | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Kongsvinger 2 - IL Ulfstind | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Talent Warsaw - MKS Przasnysz | 1.73 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Svay Rieng FC - Visakha FC | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Forest Green - Altrincham | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| Harrogate Town - Gateshead | 1 | 1.63 | -4.66% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| Maidenhead Utd - AFC Totton | 1 | 1.70 | -6.04% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| Harborough Town - Marine | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U19 | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 31 Aug 17:00 |
| GAIS - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 31 Aug 19:00 |