Carlisle – Scunthorpe

Model: TIPPSH

Carlisle vs Scunthorpe

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 31, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 2m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Carlisle. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CarlisleGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: 0.115

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CarlisleHOME
VS
ScunthorpeAWAY
DWDLL
Recent form
WLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
7.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.20
Home splitW-L-L-L-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Carlisle has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -3.6% 7D: 21.2% 15D: 13.6% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Carlisle – Scunthorpe Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample486
Win Rate61.1%
Profit+11.83u
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Ago 31, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Starts in 1h 2m
Updated
Updated 59m ago
Torna in alto