Bolivar SC – Atletico Avila

Model: TIPPSH

Bolivar SC vs Atletico Avila

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 30, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 23h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -8.30% · n=180
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bolivar SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bolivar SCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.062 | A: -0.104

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bolivar SCHOME
VS
Atletico AvilaAWAY
WLLWW
Recent form
LLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.60
Shots on target for
5.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.40
Home splitW-L-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Segunda Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandNONEROI -8.30% · n=180
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Bolivar SC showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Bolivar SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -2.3% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 13.6% 30D: 6.9%
Model insight

Bolivar SC – Atletico Avila Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.21% and -8.30%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample495
Win Rate61.2%
Profit+12.93u
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WINOlimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U191.69-7.35%
LOSSYemen U20 - Cambodia U201.67-9.21%
WINHarrogate Town - Gateshead1.63-4.66%
LOSSMonterrey - Atletico San Luis1.67-10.11%
WINGAIS - Brommapojkarna1.71-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Ago 30, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-8.30% • n=180
Start
Started 23h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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