Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cartagines. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CartaginesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.010 | A: -0.029Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Primera Division (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Cartagines is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Cartagines – Sporting San Jose Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W) | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Monaco - Getafe | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23 | 1.88 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Motagua - CD FAS | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 05:00 |
| Gimpo FC - Chungbuk Cheongju | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 12:30 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock | 1 | 1.84 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 20:30 |