Model: TIPPSH

CD Luis Angel Firpo vs Diriangen

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 6:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 5h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Luis Angel Firpo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD Luis Angel FirpoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.062 | A: 0.054

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Luis Angel FirpoHOME

DiriangenAWAY

WLWDL

Recent form

WLDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

6.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.80

Home splitW-W-L-L-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-W-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. CD Luis Angel Firpo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.5% 7D: 10.3% 15D: 14.5% 30D: 12.1%

Model insight

CD Luis Angel Firpo – Diriangen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample505

Win Rate51.5%

Profit-5.31u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Union Rochefortoise - Crossing Schaerbeek	2.07	1.04%
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WIN	FK Horni Redice - MFK Chrudim	1.88	1.31%
WIN	Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W)	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Berwick Rangers - Hearts B	2.04	1.31%
WIN	Alloa - Stranraer	1.80	1.04%
WIN	Banbury - Racing Club Warwick	1.93	1.31%
WIN	FC Koper U19 - NK Fuzinar U19	1.83	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 6:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1d 5h

Updated

Updated 10m ago