UTC Cajamarca – Sport Boys

Model: TIPPSA

UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 48d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sport Boys. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sport Boys

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

74/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UTC CajamarcaHOME
VS
Sport BoysAWAY
DLLLD
Recent form
DWDLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
2.80
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
3.40
Home splitD-L-D-D1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.66. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.66
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=90
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Sport Boys shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sport Boys's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 33.7% 7D: 34.7% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

UTC Cajamarca – Sport Boys Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample31
Win Rate12.9%
Profit-16.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSItuano - Figueirense3.812.78%
LOSSSarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U193.893.99%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSRanheim - Sandnes Ulf3.753.92%
LOSSLos Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders3.654.77%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSGrasshoppers - Aarau3.583.84%
LOSSFC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia3.702.94%
Pick
2 @ 3.66
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 48d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 18h ago
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