Model: TIPPSA
UTC Cajamarca – Sport Boys
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 3d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-L-D | D-W-D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-D (home) | D-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 6.20 against | 5.00 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.25 against (home) | 5.25 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Sport Boys is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
UTC Cajamarca – Sport Boys Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate14.8%
Profit-12.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town | 3.59 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Atletico Mineiro - Botafogo | 3.45 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Barra FC - Caxias RS | 3.50 | 2.94% |
| WIN | AC Milan - Atalanta | 3.48 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.66
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 3d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 10h ago