Omiya Ardija (W) – Nojima (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Omiya Ardija (W) – Nojima (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 10d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 5.00% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.78% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 23h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Omiya Ardija (W) Nojima (W)
Last 5 form L-D-D-D-W W-W-L-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.00 2.40
Avg goals conceded 1.40 0.40
Home/Away form L-D-D-W-L (home) W-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded 2.67 scored / 0.00 conceded
Shots on target 4.80 for / 6.40 against 6.80 for / 3.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.60 for / 6.40 against (home) 7.00 for / 2.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nojima (W)'s attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.33First seen
Current4.83Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds3.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Omiya Ardija (W) – Nojima (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 5.00% across 48 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.78% across 16 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-2.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSEibar - Cordoba4.793.75%
LOSSUTC Cajamarca - Sport Boys4.753.75%
LOSSPalermo - Catanzaro4.983.75%
LOSSSCR Altach - SV Ried4.765.00%
LOSSKuPS Kuopio - SJK4.995.00%
LOSSRavenna - ASD Pineto Calcio4.935.00%
Pick
2 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.00% • n=48
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.78% • n=16
Start
Started 10d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 23h ago
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