Model: TIPPSH

CE Manresa vs Badalona

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 2:30 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 76d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 76d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CE Manresa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CE Manresa

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.23First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CE ManresaHOME

BadalonaAWAY

WLWW

Recent form

LLLD

Avg goals scored

2.50

0.25

Defensive weakness

1.50

2.00

Shots on target for

8.33

3.67

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.00

Home splitW-W3.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera Group 5 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors CE Manresa. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. CE Manresa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.8% 7D: 9.3% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 16.4%

Model insight

CE Manresa – Badalona Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample290

Win Rate47.9%

Profit-7.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	FK Jelgava - SC Grobinas	2.05	3.37%
WIN	Cuiaba - America MG	2.13	3.37%
LOSS	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20	2.30	2.49%
LOSS	Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United	1.88	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz	1	1.98	4.86%	09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina	1	1.93	2.30%	10 May 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 2:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.86% • n=299

Start

Started 76d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 76d 23h ago