Chelmsford vs Truro City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chelmsford. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChelmsfordGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.055 | A: 0.162Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.23. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Chelmsford's attacking profile.
Chelmsford – Truro City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Eltham Redbacks - Manningham United Blues | 1.99 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | CD Moron Reserves - Club Atletico Mitre Reserves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Dunajska Streda U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U19 | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Union Rochefortoise - Crossing Schaerbeek | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Measurers Club - Rainbow AC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Jaen - Cacereno | 2.25 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Fleetwood Town U21 - Colchester U21 | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 14 Aug 15:00 |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 14 Aug 17:00 |
| ATSV Wolfsberg - VST Volkermarkt | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 14 Aug 19:00 |
| Viborg - AGF Aarhus | 1 | 2.02 | 1.04% | 14 Aug 19:00 |