Chomutov – SK Ujezd Praha 4

Model: TIPPSA

Chomutov – SK Ujezd Praha 4

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 05, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 21d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22d 1h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Chomutov SK Ujezd Praha 4
Last 5 form W-L-L-W-W L-D-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 2.00 2.80
Avg goals conceded 1.80 1.40
Home/Away form W-L (home) L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 2.50 scored / 2.50 conceded 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Shots on target 4.75 for / 5.50 against 6.40 for / 4.80 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.50 for / 6.50 against (home) 2.50 for / 4.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. SK Ujezd Praha 4 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Chomutov – SK Ujezd Praha 4 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample84
Win Rate36.9%
Profit-2.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy2.884.96%
WINGuayaquil City - Orense2.483.59%
WINAlmagro - San Martin SJ2.624.44%
WINPolonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw2.573.31%
WINFH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri2.544.44%
Active Similar Predictions
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Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.73
Kickoff
Mag 05, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 21d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 22d 1h ago
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