Model: TIPPSH

Marseille (W) vs Dijon (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 06, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 90d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 91d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Marseille (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Marseille (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.68First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Marseille (W)HOME

Dijon (W)AWAY

LWL

Recent form

WLL

Avg goals scored

0.33

0.67

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.00

Shots on target for

1.00

3.33

SoT conceded pressure

2.67

5.67

Home splitL-L0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Division 1 Women (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.9% 7D: -16.5% 15D: -2.0% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Marseille (W) – Dijon (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample63

Win Rate34.9%

Profit-6.41u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Plymouth - Bristol City	2.80	-2.37%
LOSS	Alianza - Deportes Tolima	2.79	-2.37%
WIN	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2.82	-2.37%
WIN	Aguilas Doradas - Independiente Santa Fe	2.80	-2.37%
LOSS	Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK	2.82	-2.37%
LOSS	Panama (W) - Jamaica (W)	2.80	-2.37%
WIN	Atlantis - HIFK 2	2.77	-2.37%
LOSS	HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)	2.80	-1.00%

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Mag 06, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.54% • n=136

Start

Started 90d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 91d 10h ago