Model: TIPPSA
Cimarrones de Sonora FC – Club Celaya
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 31d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.04% · n=73
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cimarrones de Sonora FC | Club Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-W | L-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.33 for / 6.00 against | 9.00 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Club Celaya's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.94First seen
Current3.39Now
Max odds3.96Highest point
Min odds3.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Cimarrones de Sonora FC – Club Celaya Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.04% and 3.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+10.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.04% • n=73
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.04% • n=73
Start
Started 31d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 14h ago