Model: TipA1
Cimarrones de Sonora FC – Club Celaya
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 30d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.37% · n=88
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.37% · n=88
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cimarrones de Sonora FC | Club Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-W | L-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.33 for / 6.00 against | 9.00 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Club Celaya. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Club Celaya has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.94First seen
Current3.96Now
Max odds3.96Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Cimarrones de Sonora FC – Club Celaya Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.37% and 1.37%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate15.8%
Profit-8.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Belgrano - Union Santa Fe | 3.50 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | Real Cartagena - Union Magdalena | 3.60 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | TP-47 - SJK Akatemia II | 3.70 | 1.37% |
| LOSS | Kiffen - Atlantis | 3.50 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | Leca - SC Vianense | 3.50 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | Club Comunicaciones - CS Dock Sud | 3.70 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | Villarreal B - UD Ibiza | 3.60 | 1.44% |
| LOSS | Catania U19 - Arezzo U19 | 3.70 | 1.44% |
Pick
2 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.37% • n=88
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.37% • n=88
Start
Started 30d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 5h ago