Club America (W) – Washington Spirit (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Club America (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 5:30 AM
ResultWIN5 - 3
StartStarted 48d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Club America (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Club America (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.69Now
Max odds2.69Highest point
Min odds2.15Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Club America (W)HOME
VS
Washington Spirit (W)AWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
3.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
7.20
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Women Champions Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.69
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Club America (W). Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Club America (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 33.7% 7D: 34.7% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 8.5%
Model insight

Club America (W) – Washington Spirit (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample43
Win Rate39.5%
Profit+0.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBrisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers2.501.59%
WINLogan Lightning - Ipswich FC2.721.41%
WINAarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF2.641.41%
WINAthlone Town - Cobh Ramblers2.511.59%
LOSSAthletic Club MG - Operario PR2.491.59%
LOSSFC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi2.501.59%
LOSSCA Patrocinense - Uberaba2.511.59%
WINLos Angeles FC II - Houston Dynamo II2.721.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning12.551.59%23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves12.651.59%30 May 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.69
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 5:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Started 48d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 12h ago
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