Compostela – Badalona

Model: TIPPSH

Compostela vs Badalona

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.19
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 53d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Compostela. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CompostelaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.88First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CompostelaHOME
VS
BadalonaAWAY
WWLWD
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
5.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-D3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.19
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Compostela. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Compostela is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -20.0% 7D: 3.7% 15D: -6.7% 30D: 11.1%
Model insight

Compostela – Badalona Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample393
Win Rate47.6%
Profit+5.04u
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WINAcademia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro2.051.04%
LOSSDenver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W)1.951.04%
WINPersebaya Surabaya - Arema FC2.191.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 53d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 6h ago
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