Compostela vs Badalona
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Compostela. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CompostelaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Compostela. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Compostela is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Compostela – Badalona Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Monaco - Getafe | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W) | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Arema FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Orsomarso - Tigres FC | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 01:00 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| Wycombe - Stevenage | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 07 Aug 20:45 |