Model: TIPPSH

Xiamen Feilu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

PREDICTION

@ 1.87

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 8h 27m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Xiamen Feilu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Xiamen FeiluGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.270 | A: -0.181

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.79First seen

Current1.87Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.73Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Xiamen FeiluHOME

Guangzhou DandelionAWAY

LLLDD

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

0.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.00

Shots on target for

5.20

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.80

Home splitL-D-D-D-W0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.87

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Xiamen Feilu is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -8.7% 7D: 15.5% 15D: 3.2% 30D: 10.4%

Model insight

Xiamen Feilu – Guangzhou Dandelion Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample455

Win Rate49.7%

Profit-20.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	VG-62 - MaPS	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Gold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W)	1.81	1.04%
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WIN	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipu	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19	2.01	1.04%
WIN	Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W)	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Motagua - CD FAS	1.83	1.04%
WIN	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	2.07	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.87

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 8h 27m

Updated

Updated 16m ago