Model: TIPPSH
Criciuma vs Fortaleza
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 14h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 1h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Criciuma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CriciumaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: 0.002Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
CriciumaHOME
VS
FortalezaAWAY
DWLDW
Recent form
DWDDW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.00
Home splitW-D-W-W-W1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 55.9%
7D: 1.9%
15D: 4.6%
30D: 3.7%
Model insight
Criciuma – Fortaleza Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample653
Win Rate51.3%
Profit-6.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | West Adelaide (W) - Salisbury Inter (W) | 1.83 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | XV de Jau U20 - Porto Foot Ball U20 | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | NuPS - LePa | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Giugliano - Scafatese | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Elfsborg (W) - KIF Orebro (W) | 1.76 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Fulham United FC - Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 09:30 |
| FK Prepere - Turnov | 1 | 1.91 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 10:30 |
| Kataller Toyama - FC Imabari | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 11:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 1d 14h
Updated
Updated 2d 1h ago