Model: TIPPSH

Giugliano vs Scafatese

PREDICTION

@ 2.34

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 2h 51m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Giugliano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GiuglianoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.035 | A: 0.155

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.27First seen

Current2.34Now

Max odds2.34Highest point

Min odds2.02Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GiuglianoHOME

ScafateseAWAY

DDLDD

Recent form

DWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

4.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

3.40

Home splitD-D-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-W-L2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.34. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Group C (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.34

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Giugliano has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 48.2% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.3%

Model insight

Giugliano – Scafatese Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample400

Win Rate44.8%

Profit+4.53u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SC Fürstenfeld - TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2.15	1.31%
WIN	Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Sportfreunde Siegen - Borussia M'gladbach II	2.21	1.31%
WIN	SK Hranice - MFK Havirov	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Gornik Leczna	2.11	1.04%
WIN	FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	RSD Alcala - Gimnastica Segoviana	2.55	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.34

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 2h 51m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 53m ago