Dag & Red vs Boreham Wood
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dag & Red. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dag & RedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: -0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Dag & Red. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Dag & Red has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Dag & Red – Boreham Wood Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Persija Jakarta | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | 12 De Octubre San Domingo - Club Sport Colombia | 3.40 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Zulte-Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | PEC Zwolle (W) - Werder Bremen (W) | 3.40 | 2.05% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK BE1 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Carapegua - General Caballero JLM | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Athlone Town (W) - Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | ONS (W) - FC Honka (W) | 3.10 | 2.17% |