Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Persebaya Surabaya. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Persebaya SurabayaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.246 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.56% based on n=265 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Indonesia Cup (id). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Persebaya Surabaya has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Persebaya Surabaya – Persija Jakarta Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Zulte-Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | PEC Zwolle (W) - Werder Bremen (W) | 3.40 | 2.05% |
| WIN | Athlone Town (W) - Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | ONS (W) - FC Honka (W) | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| WIN | Sparta Brno - SFK Vrchovina | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | CSD Flandria - Excursionistas | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Sporting Cristal - Bragantino | 3.47 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Feignies Aulnoye FC - Seraing United | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFA Vilnius - FK BE1 | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 26 Jul 14:00 |
| Carapegua - General Caballero JLM | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 26 Jul 15:00 |
| Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| Gyirmot SE - Csakvari TK | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| 12 De Octubre San Domingo - Club Sport Colombia | 1 | 3.40 | 4.14% | 26 Jul 20:00 |