Model: TIPPSA
Deportes Recoleta – Club Deportes Santa Cruz
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 17d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Deportes Recoleta | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-D-W | L-D-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-D (home) | L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.00 against | 6.20 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.67 for / 6.67 against (home) | 7.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Club Deportes Santa Cruz's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.91Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Deportes Recoleta – Club Deportes Santa Cruz Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample119
Win Rate42.0%
Profit+7.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Irtysh Pavlodar - FC Elimai Semey | 2.34 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow | 2.53 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.58
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 17d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 6h ago