Model: TIPPSH
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.81
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 03, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 20h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 30m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Deportivo Cuenca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Deportivo CuencaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.139 | A: 0.072Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.79Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Deportivo CuencaHOME
VS
Guayaquil CityAWAY
LDDLL
Recent form
WWWDD
Avg goals scored
0.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
3.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.00
Home splitD-D-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-D1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.81
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -5.0%
7D: 8.3%
15D: 14.2%
30D: 9.1%
Model insight
Deportivo Cuenca – Guayaquil City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample673
Win Rate49.9%
Profit-35.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ballymena Utd Reserves - Dungannon Swifts Reserves | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy - CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Anstey Nomads - Banbury | 1.75 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Leiston | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Toluca U21 - Juarez FC U21 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FC Koper U19 - NK Radomlje U19 | 1.99 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| LASK Linz - Celtic | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 25 Aug 21:00 |
| Toluca - Leon | 1 | 2.05 | 1.31% | 01 Sep 01:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.81
Kickoff
Set 03, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 20h
Updated
Updated 11h 30m ago