Model: TIPPSH

ASD Brian Lignano vs Triestina

PREDICTION

@ 2.54

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 1d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is ASD Brian Lignano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ASD Brian LignanoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.001

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.54Now

Max odds2.54Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ASD Brian LignanoHOME

TriestinaAWAY

WWDW

Recent form

LWLLW

Avg goals scored

2.50

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.75

2.20

Shots on target for

5.00

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

6.00

Home splitW-D1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-D0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.54. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie D Cup (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.54

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, ASD Brian Lignano has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. ASD Brian Lignano is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -3.6% 7D: 8.3% 15D: 14.1% 30D: 9.1%

Model insight

ASD Brian Lignano – Triestina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample256

Win Rate38.7%

Profit-12.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Cienciano - Cusco FC	2.38	1.59%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Ajka	2.49	1.59%
WIN	Universidad Catolica (W) - Universidad de Chile (W)	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Aguilas - Alcorcon	2.67	1.59%
LOSS	Germinal de Rawson - Deportivo Rincon	2.35	1.59%
WIN	USI Azzurri - CS Chênois	2.31	1.59%
WIN	Salisbury FC - Billericay Town	2.29	1.59%
LOSS	SK Stonava - FC Vratimov	2.30	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.54

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.70% • n=209

Start

Started 1d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 12h ago