Model: TIPPSA

Dunfermline vs Raith

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 15h 18m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Raith. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: RaithGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.065 | A: 0.059

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.56Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DunfermlineHOME

RaithAWAY

WLLDD

Recent form

LWWDW

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

3.60

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.40

Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Raith. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Raith's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 6.1% 7D: 20.1% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 9.9%

Model insight

Dunfermline – Raith Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample125

Win Rate40.8%

Profit+8.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	2.75	3.61%
WIN	Hibernian - Gent	2.52	4.13%
WIN	Eyupspor - Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2.57	3.59%
WIN	Honiara City FC - Green Shield FC	2.71	3.59%
WIN	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	2.50	4.13%
WIN	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	2.65	3.59%
WIN	JK Viljandi Tulevik - FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2.80	4.96%
WIN	Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2.54	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30
Grazer AK - Wolfsberger AC	2	2.72	3.43%	29 Aug 17:00

Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Ago 28, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Started 15h 18m ago

Updated

Updated 17h 48m ago