Model: TIPPSA
Derry City – Shamrock Rovers
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 32d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Derry City | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-D-L | L-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W (home) | L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.20 against | 4.80 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 1.00 against (home) | 4.33 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Shamrock Rovers shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.42Now
Max odds2.42Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Derry City – Shamrock Rovers Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample143
Win Rate41.3%
Profit+3.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 32d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 10h ago