Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Shamrock Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Shamrock RoversValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.51. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Shamrock Rovers shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Derry City – Shamrock Rovers Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W) | 2.34 | 3.43% |
| WIN | Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre | 2.65 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile | 2.29 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |