Model: TIPPSA
Derthona – ASD Imperia
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 30d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Derthona | ASD Imperia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L | D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 7.00 against | 7.50 for / 2.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 7.00 against (home) | 7.50 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. ASD Imperia has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Derthona – ASD Imperia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate41.2%
Profit+3.48u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 30d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 15h ago