East Coast Bays – Auckland United FC

Model: TIPPSA

East Coast Bays vs Auckland United FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 1d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auckland United FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Auckland United FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.028 | A: 0.059

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.81First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds1.81Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East Coast BaysHOME
VS
Auckland United FCAWAY
LDLLW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
3.40
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.20
9.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
4.60
Home splitL-L-W-D-W1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-L2.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.05
V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Auckland United FC. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Auckland United FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -11.3% 7D: 19.0% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

East Coast Bays – Auckland United FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample128
Win Rate51.6%
Profit+11.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINWidzew Lodz - Lech Poznan2.181.21%
WINRodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad2.011.76%
WINDarmstadt - Hannover 962.171.76%
WINLokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Moscow2.201.21%
WINHNK Rijeka - Midtjylland2.270.84%
LOSSFC Naples - Union Omaha2.250.84%
WINStockport U21 - Charlton U212.241.21%
LOSSChapecoense - Sao Paulo2.111.21%
Pick
2 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.21% • n=228
Start
Started 1d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 1h ago
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