Model: TIPPSA

Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 16h 31m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18h 36m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lech Poznan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lech PoznanGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: 0.213

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.21First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.23Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Widzew LodzHOME

Lech PoznanAWAY

LDLWD

Recent form

WDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

4.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

4.20

8.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

3.00

Home splitL-L-D-W-W2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Lech Poznan. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Lech Poznan has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -0.9% 7D: 6.7% 15D: 14.3% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Widzew Lodz – Lech Poznan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample160

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+12.32u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2.01	1.76%
WIN	Darmstadt - Hannover 96	2.17	1.76%
WIN	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Moscow	2.20	1.21%
LOSS	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia Krakow	2.34	0.84%
WIN	East Coast Bays - Auckland United FC	2.05	1.21%
WIN	HNK Rijeka - Midtjylland	2.27	0.84%
LOSS	FC Naples - Union Omaha	2.25	0.84%
WIN	Stockport U21 - Charlton U21	2.24	1.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Briton Ferry - Barry Town	2	2.03	1.21%	31 Aug 15:30
FC United of Manchester - Avro FC	2	2.10	1.21%	31 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 16h 31m ago

Updated

Updated 18h 36m ago