EL Nacional (W) vs Quito FC (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Quito FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Quito FC (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.72% based on n=183 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Primera Women (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Quito FC (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Quito FC (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
EL Nacional (W) – Quito FC (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Milwaukee Torrent (W) - Bavarian United (W) | 2.38 | 11.14% |
| WIN | Räppe GOIF - Staffanstorp United | 2.50 | 11.14% |
| LOSS | CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC | 2.75 | 9.73% |
| WIN | Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W) | 2.35 | 11.14% |
| WIN | Fremantle City FC (W) - Balcatta FC (W) | 2.70 | 11.14% |
| WIN | Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20 | 2.80 | 9.73% |
| LOSS | New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC | 2.80 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Heidelberg United (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2.45 | 11.14% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus - JK Tammeka Tartu | 2 | 2.38 | 11.14% | 11 Jul 13:30 |