Model: TipA1
EL Nacional (W) – Quito FC (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 18d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.72% · n=183
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | EL Nacional (W) | Quito FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-L | W-L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 3.00 conceded | 1.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 13.33 against | 7.00 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 11.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Quito FC (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Quito FC (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
EL Nacional (W) – Quito FC (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.72% and 11.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+4.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HPS - Atlantis | 2.75 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | OKS Swit Skolwin - Slask Wroclaw II | 2.55 | 11.72% |
| WIN | Santos (W) - Bragantino (W) | 2.60 | 11.72% |
| WIN | Puebla U19 (W) - Unam Pumas U19 (W) | 2.40 | 11.72% |
| LOSS | Sandefjord 2 - Lyn 1896 II | 2.35 | 11.72% |
| WIN | RKVV DEM U21 - Koninklijke HFC U21 | 2.80 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Umeå FC - Karlbergs BK | 2.75 | 12.37% |
| WIN | Botafogo U20 (W) - Ferroviaria U20 (W) | 2.40 | 11.72% |
Pick
2 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 11.72% • n=183
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
11.72% • n=183
Start
Started 18d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 4h ago