Envigado U19 – Belen Arco Zaragoza U19

Model: TIPPSH

Envigado U19 vs Belen Arco Zaragoza U19

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 1h 25m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Envigado U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Envigado U19Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.167 | A: -0.006

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.42First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds1.73Highest point
Min odds1.42Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Envigado U19HOME
VS
Belen Arco Zaragoza U19AWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
4.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
6.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-L0.75 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia U19 Championship (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Envigado U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.0% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 5.2% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Envigado U19 – Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample320
Win Rate61.6%
Profit+10.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCelta Fortuna - UD Ourense1.68-9.21%
WINFana - Gneist1.65-9.21%
WINReal Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U201.69-9.89%
WINBayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W)1.68-6.04%
WINAvondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W)1.69-9.21%
WINKarlovac - NK Lucko1.69-6.04%
WINFC Dordrecht - Ajax Reserves1.63-4.66%
WINFC Blau Weiss Linz - FC Wacker Innsbruck1.63-9.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
Vicenza - Catania11.72-9.21%08 Aug 20:00
Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern11.62-9.21%08 Aug 20:30
AC Colina - CD Rengo Unido11.71-9.21%08 Aug 21:30
CD Luis Angel Firpo - Municipal Limeno11.68-9.21%09 Aug 03:00
FC Fredericia - Vendsyssel FF11.65-9.21%09 Aug 15:00
Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk11.71-9.21%09 Aug 17:30
Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 1h 25m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 29m ago
Torna in alto