Model: TipTromba2H
Essendon Royals – Eastern Lions
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 25d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.17% · n=517
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Essendon Royals | Eastern Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-W-W | L-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.33 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.00 for / 5.75 against | 2.25 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 12.00 for / 10.00 against (home) | 3.00 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Essendon Royals as the more reliable side. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Essendon Royals has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Essendon Royals – Eastern Lions Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.17% across 517 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample130
Win Rate55.4%
Profit-0.47u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Puerto Nuevo Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Cerro Largo Reserves - Club Oriental Reserves | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | UD Logrones - UD San Sebastian Reyes | 1.91 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II - FK Smiltene/BJSS | 1.62 | 6.49% |
| LOSS | Motagua - CD Marathon | 1.85 | 6.89% |
| WIN | Yanapuma (W) - UNSAAC (W) | 1.83 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Rodange | 1.80 | 5.56% |
| WIN | HB Koge (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1.53 | 7.81% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasil de Pelotas - GE Bage | 1 | 1.91 | 6.89% | 28 May 00:00 |
| Caxias RS - Ituano | 1 | 1.95 | 6.89% | 31 May 00:30 |
| Macarthur Rams (W) - Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1 | 1.80 | 5.56% | 31 May 07:00 |
| Guarani - Amazonas FC | 1 | 1.80 | 7.35% | 31 May 23:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.17% • n=517
Start
Started 25d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 26d 10h ago