Essendon Royals – Eastern Lions

Model: TIPPSH

Essendon Royals – Eastern Lions

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 25d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Essendon Royals Eastern Lions
Last 5 form W-L-W-W-W L-D-D-W
Avg goals scored 2.20 2.00
Avg goals conceded 1.60 1.00
Home/Away form W-W (home) L-D-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded 2.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 9.00 for / 5.75 against 2.25 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 12.00 for / 10.00 against (home) 3.00 for / 5.33 against (away)

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Essendon Royals a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Essendon Royals's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.29Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Essendon Royals – Eastern Lions Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample234
Win Rate47.0%
Profit-11.67u
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WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 25d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 26d 7h ago
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