Essendon Royals vs Keilor Park
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Essendon Royals. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Essendon RoyalsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.034 | A: 0.001Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Essendon Royals showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Essendon Royals has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Essendon Royals – Keilor Park Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | PPJ (W) - GrIFK (W) | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Guria Lanchkhuti - FC Iberia 1999 II | 1.65 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Sport Huancayo II - CD Estudiantil CNI | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Al Urooba - Al Dhaid | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Jadran Dekani - NK Jesenice | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FK Auda - Tukums 2000 | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Chomutov - FK Usti nad Labem B | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza - Deportivo Pereira | 1 | 1.55 | -3.82% | 22 Aug 02:30 |
| Queanbeyan City - O'Connor Knights | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 07:00 |
| Northern Tigers U20 - Macarthur Rams U20 | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 10:30 |
| Oskar Przysucha - Blonianka Blonie | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 13:00 |
| FA 2000 - Brabrand | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| Frem - ASA Aarhus | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Sveikata - FK Panevezys II | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 15:00 |
| Aberystwyth - Llantwit Major | 1 | 1.55 | -3.82% | 22 Aug 15:30 |