FK Auda – Tukums 2000

Model: TipTromba2H

FK Auda vs Tukums 2000

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.57
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 18h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 1m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Auda. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK AudaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.082 | A: -0.016

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.63First seen
Current1.59Now
Max odds1.69Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK AudaHOME
VS
Tukums 2000AWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.57
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.3% 7D: 6.5% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

FK Auda – Tukums 2000 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample542
Win Rate64.8%
Profit+21.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINOrsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W)1.57-3.38%
WINLillehammer U19 - Asker U191.57-3.82%
WINNavalcarnero - Torrejon1.67-3.38%
WINZaglebie Sosnowiec - Sleza Wroclaw1.53-1.89%
WINROW 1964 Rybnik - Carina Gubin1.70-1.89%
LOSSKluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdansk1.50-1.89%
WINND Ilirija U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U191.70-3.38%
LOSSBoston Utd - Birmingham U211.73-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.57
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 18h
Updated
Updated 12h 1m ago
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