Orsomarso (W) – Deportivo Pasto (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.57
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 10h 12m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 54m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Orsomarso (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Orsomarso (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.152

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.38First seen
Current1.57Now
Max odds1.57Highest point
Min odds1.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Orsomarso (W)HOME
VS
Deportivo Pasto (W)AWAY
WWDWL
Recent form
LDWLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
5.00
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.00
Home splitW-W-L-D-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Liga Femenina (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.57
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Orsomarso (W), and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Orsomarso (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.3% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.2%
Model insight

Orsomarso (W) – Deportivo Pasto (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample543
Win Rate64.6%
Profit+20.58u
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WINROW 1964 Rybnik - Carina Gubin1.70-1.89%
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WINND Ilirija U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U191.70-3.38%
LOSSBoston Utd - Birmingham U211.73-1.89%
WINPeterborough U21 - QPR U211.70-3.38%
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Pick
1 @ 1.57
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Started 10h 12m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 54m ago
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