Estoril vs Famalicao
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Famalicao. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FamalicaoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.02. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.22% based on n=185 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Primeira Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Famalicao a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Famalicao is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Estoril – Famalicao Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2.04 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 | 2.11 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Nunawading - Keilor Park | 2.25 | 0.84% |
| WIN | MyPa - PPJ | 2.06 | 1.76% |
| LOSS | Odense BK II (W) - BSF (W) | 2.02 | 1.76% |
| WIN | Cong An HCMC II - Ho Chi Minh City | 2.04 | 1.21% |