Model: TIPPSA
Estoril – Famalicao
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.02
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 30d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Estoril | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L | W-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for / 5.25 against | 5.00 for / 2.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 6.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Famalicao a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Famalicao's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Estoril – Famalicao Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample70
Win Rate51.4%
Profit+4.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan | 2.06 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Puszcza Niepolomice - LKS Lodz | 2.15 | 0.58% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Makhachkala - Spartak Moscow | 2.18 | 0.58% |
| WIN | Flota Swinoujscie - Pogon Szczecin II | 2.13 | 0.58% |
Pick
2 @ 2.02
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 30d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 14h ago