Estoril – Famalicao

Model: TIPPSA

Estoril vs Famalicao

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.02
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 77d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Famalicao. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Famalicao

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EstorilHOME
VS
FamalicaoAWAY
LLLL
Recent form
WDDD
Avg goals scored
0.75
1.50
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.25
Shots on target for
2.75
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.25
2.50
Home splitL-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.02. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.22% based on n=185 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Primeira Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.02
V2 BandLOWROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 BandNONEROI -1.22% · n=185
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Famalicao a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Famalicao is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.7% 7D: 10.6% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Estoril – Famalicao Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample78
Win Rate52.6%
Profit+7.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
LOSSOdense BK II (W) - BSF (W)2.021.76%
WINCong An HCMC II - Ho Chi Minh City2.041.21%
Pick
2 @ 2.02
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 77d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 19h ago
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