Model: TIPPSH

Estudiantes LP vs Newell's

PREDICTION

@ 1.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 01, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2h 53m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Estudiantes LP. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Estudiantes LPGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.099 | A: 0.080

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.71First seen

Current1.75Now

Max odds1.75Highest point

Min odds1.71Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Estudiantes LPHOME

Newell'sAWAY

WLWWD

Recent form

WWWLD

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

6.20

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

4.60

Home splitW-W-D-W-L2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.75

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Estudiantes LP has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 28.3% 7D: 29.8% 15D: 9.1% 30D: 9.7%

Model insight

Estudiantes LP – Newell’s Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample495

Win Rate61.2%

Profit+12.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	PSV Reserves - Ajax Reserves	1.65	-4.66%
WIN	AZ Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves	1.65	-9.21%
LOSS	Forest Green - Altrincham	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Olimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U19	1.69	-7.35%
LOSS	Yemen U20 - Cambodia U20	1.67	-9.21%
WIN	Harrogate Town - Gateshead	1.63	-4.66%
LOSS	Monterrey - Atletico San Luis	1.67	-10.11%
WIN	GAIS - Brommapojkarna	1.71	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00
Huddersfield U21 - QPR U21	1	1.71	-7.35%	01 Sep 14:00
Charlton U21 - Wigan U21	1	1.63	-7.35%	01 Sep 14:00
Sheff Utd - Bolton	1	1.67	-9.21%	01 Sep 20:45
Rubio Nu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1	1.69	-9.21%	01 Sep 21:00
West Brom - Charlton	1	1.74	-7.35%	02 Sep 20:45
Olimpia Asuncion - Guarani Asuncion	1	1.75	-9.21%	02 Sep 23:30

Pick

1 @ 1.75

Kickoff

Set 01, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 2h 53m

Updated

Updated 1d 1h ago