FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Astana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC AstanaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.040 | A: 0.030Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward FC Astana as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FC Astana has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FC Astana – Okzhetpes Kokshetau Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1.73 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Vicenza - Catania | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Fana - Gneist | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20 | 1.69 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 10 Aug 17:45 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |