FC Badalona (W) vs Villarreal (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Badalona (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC Badalona (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.086 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with FC Badalona (W) showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Badalona (W)'s attacking profile.
FC Badalona (W) – Villarreal (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Polonia Sroda Wlkp - Victoria Wrzesnia | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Mirassol U20 - Itapirense U20 | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Vancouver Whitecaps - Juarez FC | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Venezuela (W) - El Salvador (W) | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Mexico U20 - Panama U20 | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Forge FC - Vancouver FC | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Club America - San Diego FC | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Ironi Modiin | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonport City - Launceston City | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 06:30 |
| FC Melbourne Srbija - North Geelong | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 07:00 |
| Tenerife B - CD Marino | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 08 Aug 12:00 |
| Wieczysta Krakow II - AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 1.50 | -3.82% | 08 Aug 12:00 |
| Odd II - Staal Jørpeland | 1 | 1.57 | -3.82% | 08 Aug 13:00 |
| Gornik Zabrze U19 - Stal Rzeszow U19 | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 14:00 |
| IJsselmeervogels - EVV Echt | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 14:30 |
| Aberystwyth - Treowen Stars | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 08 Aug 15:30 |