FC Edinburgh – Elgin

Model: TIPPSH

FC Edinburgh vs Elgin

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 5
StartStarted 23h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Edinburgh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC EdinburghGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.085 | A: -0.175

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.60First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC EdinburghHOME
VS
ElginAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.40
Shots on target for
3.80
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
7.40
Home splitL-W-L-W-W1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-D2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Two (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.17
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Edinburgh. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Edinburgh's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -35.9% 7D: -19.9% 15D: 2.9% 30D: 6.7%
Model insight

FC Edinburgh – Elgin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample381
Win Rate46.5%
Profit-4.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBollstanäs SK - IK Franke2.101.31%
WINAragua - Bolivar SC2.301.59%
WINSpartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa2.221.04%
WINUdelas FC - San Francisco Reserves2.411.59%
WINLens - Villarreal2.041.04%
LOSSReal Sociedad B - Huesca2.141.31%
WINLlandudno - Flint Town Utd2.111.04%
LOSSBronshoj BK - Ishoj2.051.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 23h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
Torna in alto