Sunderland vs Wrexham
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sunderland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SunderlandGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: 0.060Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sunderland is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sunderland – Wrexham Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| WIN | South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23 | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Reipas - PPJ | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| WIN | KCCA - BUL FC | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| WIN | VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Darmstadt - Portsmouth | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Lens - Villarreal | 2.04 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 02 Aug 19:00 |
| Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 02 Aug 19:30 |
| Lanus - Instituto AC Cordoba | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 03 Aug 02:30 |
| Chrobry Glogow - Odra Opole | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 03 Aug 19:00 |
| Racing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W) | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 03 Aug 20:00 |