FC Fredericia – CD Mafra

Model: TIPPSH

FC Fredericia vs CD Mafra

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 16h 58m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Fredericia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Fredericia

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds2.12Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC FredericiaHOME
VS
CD MafraAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
LWLDW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.80
Shots on target for
7.40
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.40
Home splitW-W-D-L-D2.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward FC Fredericia as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FC Fredericia is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.7% 7D: -5.3% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

FC Fredericia – CD Mafra Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample205
Win Rate58.5%
Profit-3.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDaegu FC - Siheung City AC1.68-9.21%
WINSporting - Celtic1.74-9.21%
WINChattanooga Red Wolves - Antelope Valley Alta1.65-6.04%
WINViettel U21 - Hoang Anh Gia Lai U211.74-9.21%
LOSSKuPS Kuopio - Vardar Skopje1.63-9.21%
WINQuilmes Reserves - Central Cordoba SdE Reserves1.72-7.35%
LOSSFC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn1.68-7.35%
WINPK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 16h 58m ago
Updated
Updated 19h ago
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