AD Confianca – Maringa FC

Model: TipA1

AD Confianca vs Maringa FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.45
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 5h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Maringa FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Maringa FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.019 | A: 0.013

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AD ConfiancaHOME
VS
Maringa FCAWAY
LDLLD
Recent form
LDWWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
2.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.60
Home splitD-L-W-D-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.45. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.45
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Maringa FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Maringa FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.2% 7D: 4.1% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

AD Confianca – Maringa FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample250
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-6.29u
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WINReilac Shiga - FC Gifu2.604.27%
LOSSChapecoense U20 - Criciuma U202.634.27%
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Pick
2 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Starts in 2d 5h
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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