Model: TIPPSH

Phoenix Rising FC vs Hartford Athletic

PREDICTION

@ 2.09

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 26, 2026 6:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 4h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Phoenix Rising FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Phoenix Rising FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.113 | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Phoenix Rising FCHOME

Hartford AthleticAWAY

WLLLD

Recent form

LWDLD

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.60

Home splitW-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.09. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.09

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Phoenix Rising FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 4.6% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 20.8%

Model insight

Phoenix Rising FC – Hartford Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample312

Win Rate47.8%

Profit-11.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2.05	3.37%
LOSS	Braga - Celta Vigo	2.03	3.37%
LOSS	Columbus Crew II - Philadelphia Union II	2.17	3.37%
WIN	Gimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W)	1.88	3.37%
LOSS	Spartans - Stirling	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Kerry FC	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.90	3.37%
WIN	Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos	1.85	3.37%

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Pick

1 @ 2.09

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 6:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 4d 4h

Updated

Updated 5m ago