Boston Utd vs Birmingham U21
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Boston Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Boston UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.032 | A: -0.137Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Boston Utd as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Boston Utd is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Boston Utd – Birmingham U21 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mohun Bagan SG - Jamshedpur FC | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK Auda - SC Grobinas | 1.60 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FK Qarabag - Shamakhi FK | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Coimbra U20 - Boston City FC U20 | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | LDU Quito (W) - Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Atletico Pilar - CUDP Lobos | 1.65 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Deportes Iquique (W) - Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1.55 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough U21 - QPR U21 | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 18 Aug 14:00 |
| Barnet - Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 18 Aug 20:45 |
| LDU Quito - Mirassol | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 18 Aug 22:00 |
| Preston Lions - Melbourne City FC 2 | 1 | 1.50 | -3.82% | 19 Aug 12:30 |
| Rangers - FK Jablonec | 1 | 1.70 | -3.38% | 20 Aug 20:45 |