Navalcarnero vs Torrejon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Navalcarnero. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NavalcarneroGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.113 | A: -0.058Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Copa Federacion (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Navalcarnero, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Navalcarnero's attacking profile.
Navalcarnero – Torrejon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Real Oviedo B - Caudal | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | UMF Selfoss - Kari | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Wigan - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Coquimbo Unido (W) - Huachipato (W) | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Dinamo Zagreb - Viking FK | 1.72 | -9.89% |
| LOSS | Mindil Aces - Darwin Olympic | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | FK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa | 1.70 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nairn County - Lossiemouth | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 19 Aug 21:00 |
| New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II | 1 | 1.75 | -4.66% | 19 Aug 23:00 |
| One Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 | 1.66 | -7.35% | 20 Aug 01:00 |
| Houston Dash (W) - Chicago Stars (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -10.11% | 20 Aug 02:00 |
| CD Marathon - Alianza FC | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 20 Aug 03:00 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - Fram Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 20 Aug 20:00 |